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Pos No. Wins Sales Percentage 1 06 828,439 1,174,400,110 0.07054% 2 29 651,537 938,832,640 0.06940% 3 09 721,344 1,044,165,580 0.06908% 4 12 1,030,136 1,504,792,500 0.06846% 5 24 456,547 673,109,150 0.06783% 6 13 842,662 1,251,440,150 0.06734% 7 01 516,655 773,247,090 0.06682% 8 19 771,370 1,161,296,700 0.06642% 9 20 649,345 986,703,680 0.06581% 10 30 546,869 836,376,960 0.06539% 11 03 686,406 1,055,351,480 0.06504% 12 15 377,042 579,990,800 0.06501% 13 08 573,938 887,262,830 0.06469% 14 26 509,785 798,768,990 0.06382% 15 45 563,465 883,522,620 0.06377% 16 02 668,100 1,047,964,960 0.06375% 17 11 823,240 1,300,880,550 0.06328% 18 17 770,268 1,223,443,460 0.06296% 19 05 325,952 518,042,390 0.06292% 20 35 758,980 1,209,519,010 0.06275% 21 51 400,885 645,502,920 0.06210% 22 28 503,096 811,742,490 0.06198% 23 14 565,291 919,390,140 0.06149% 24 46 203,344 330,819,710 0.06147% 25 07 499,593 817,412,210 0.06112% 26 25 348,143 571,580,190 0.06091% 27 10 619,672 1,017,431,200 0.06091% 28 44 516,123 848,903,170 0.06080% 29 37 519,189 872,535,140 0.05950% 30 18 469,408 790,157,490 0.05941% 31 47 544,670 922,059,450 0.05907% 32 33 907,157 1,545,622,520 0.05869% 33 16 634,845 1,085,441,880 0.05849% 34 27 624,515 1,073,995,510 0.05815% 35 41 688,206 1,185,900,770 0.05803% 36 31 546,121 944,350,550 0.05783% 37 32 476,892 826,187,850 0.05772% 38 04 514,260 891,177,320 0.05771% 39 39 633,128 1,097,394,530 0.05769% 40 43 562,547 978,132,800 0.05751% 41 21 263,761 459,623,490 0.05739% 42 40 498,250 871,459,340 0.05717% 43 23 356,584 645,238,400 0.05526% 44 22 450,493 836,238,830 0.05387% 45 49 458,575 856,042,030 0.05357% 46 42 557,985 1,052,259,850 0.05303% 47 36 542,184 1,057,707,810 0.05126% 48 48 434,189 848,595,100 0.05117% 49 38 831,279 1,634,177,270 0.05087% 50 34 437,490 873,978,710 0.05006% 51 54 585,195 1,192,115,990 0.04909% 52 53 294,034 614,500,350 0.04785% 53 59 410,911 864,664,460 0.04752% 54 57 463,724 983,564,750 0.04715% 55 58 266,072 565,662,720 0.04704% 56 56 216,365 461,283,970 0.04690% 57 55 387,351 829,945,260 0.04667% 58 50 234,427 503,145,410 0.04659% 59 52 347,315 763,943,870 0.04546%Notes:
Firstly, I needed to work out how many winning tickets used a particular number (let's say using the number 1 as an example) in each prize tier for a single draw. Camelot don't release the figures for this, so for a particular prize tier, it has to be estimated thus:
Winning tickets using the number 1 in a prize tier = ( Number of combinations in that tier that use the number 1 / Total combinations in that tier ) * Number of actual prize winners in that tier [yes, this last figure is indeed released by Camelot]
This assumes an even distribution of combinations of course, which isn't the case in real life, but it's the best we can do. I then wrote a combinations program that generated all 14m tickets and calculated the first two figures in the RHS of the above equation for each tier (we know the third figure from Camelot as I said) by assuming that the 6 numbers drawn were 1 to 6 and we were looking at winning tickets using the number 1. This resulted in the following table:
Tier Uses 1 Combs Ratio 6-match 1 1 1.000 5+bonus 5 6 0.833 5-match 210 252 0.833 4-match 9,030 13,545 0.667 3-match 123,410 246,820 0.500 2-match 617,050 1,851,150 0.333 1-match 962,598 5,775,588 0.167 0-match 0 6,095,454 0.000
After this, it was simply a question of using the above table for each draw, multiplying the ratio by number of winners in the tier for a particular draw and then doing this for all 104 draws to get a total for a particular number. I then totalled the sales for every draw where a particular number appeared, divided the figure from the previous sentence by that total and then sorted on the percentage figure as shown in the main table on this page. You can wake up now...
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